Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.060161 0.068034 0.076058 0.084818 0.094085 0.103568 0.113982
2025-10-12 0.046551 0.057975 0.070170 0.084022 0.099198 0.115212 0.133283
2025-10-19 0.038956 0.052635 0.067795 0.085541 0.105479 0.126959 0.151634
2025-10-26 0.032698 0.047777 0.065078 0.085871 0.109729 0.135867 0.166313
2025-11-02 0.028338 0.044524 0.063684 0.087235 0.114727 0.145250 0.181191
2025-11-09 0.024162 0.040984 0.061542 0.087369 0.118012 0.152451 0.193397
2025-11-16 0.019424 0.036177 0.057433 0.084798 0.117841 0.155457 0.200629
2025-11-23 0.015509 0.031991 0.053741 0.082429 0.117652 0.158231 0.207409
2025-11-30 0.013526 0.030265 0.053030 0.083593 0.121565 0.165673 0.219460
2025-12-07 0.011990 0.029010 0.052812 0.085275 0.126025 0.173695 0.232132
2025-12-14 0.010995 0.028460 0.053466 0.088009 0.131724 0.183145 0.246437
2025-12-21 0.009586 0.027077 0.052866 0.089042 0.135268 0.189994 0.257672
2025-12-28 0.009909 0.028703 0.056642 0.096001 0.146425 0.206224 0.280268
2026-01-04 0.007973 0.026231 0.054494 0.095117 0.147798 0.210774 0.289200
2026-01-11 0.006918 0.025163 0.054280 0.096735 0.152262 0.219007 0.302452
2026-01-18 0.005702 0.023579 0.053186 0.097086 0.155066 0.225191 0.313247
2026-01-25 0.004872 0.022613 0.052943 0.098541 0.159234 0.233003 0.325952
2026-02-01 0.003901 0.021134 0.051803 0.098684 0.161664 0.238652 0.336045
2026-02-08 0.002630 0.018544 0.048702 0.095942 0.160246 0.239490 0.340292
2026-02-15 0.001656 0.016236 0.045851 0.093411 0.159000 0.240460 0.344632
2026-02-22 0.001286 0.015539 0.045651 0.094655 0.162692 0.247531 0.356315
2026-03-01 0.001024 0.015091 0.045845 0.096451 0.167103 0.255489 0.369068
2026-03-08 0.000891 0.015082 0.046804 0.099367 0.173004 0.265309 0.384083